Trump initiates trade conflict by imposing tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China.

US President Donald Trump has imposed significant tariffs on goods from Mexico, Canada, and China, initiating a trade war aimed at curbing the flow of fentanyl and, in the cases of Mexico and Canada, illegal immigration. This aggressive action could potentially harm global economic growth and trigger inflation.

Mexico and Canada, as the top two trading partners of the US, immediately vowed to retaliate with their own tariffs. China, on the other hand, expressed its intent to challenge the move at the World Trade Organization and implement other countermeasures.

Trump’s executive orders mandate a 25% tariff on most goods from Mexico and Canada, while goods from China will face a 10% tariff starting on Tuesday. The tariffs will remain in place until Trump considers the national emergency related to fentanyl and illegal immigration resolved. However, the White House has not clarified the specific conditions under which these demands would be deemed satisfied.

In response to concerns from oil refiners and Midwestern states, Trump imposed a 10% duty on Canadian energy products, while Mexican energy imports will face the full 25% tariff.

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced that Canada would retaliate with 25% tariffs on $155 billion worth of US goods, starting with $30 billion on Tuesday and the rest in 21 days. Trudeau warned that these tariffs would lead to higher costs for US consumers, including higher grocery and gas prices, and could disrupt the auto industry and supplies of essential goods.

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum also announced retaliatory tariffs, but details remain scarce. Both Canada and Mexico pledged to collaborate in their efforts against the US tariffs.

China’s Commerce Ministry has yet to specify its countermeasures but emphasized the importance of addressing fentanyl and other issues through rational dialogue and cooperation.

The US tariffs, which are set to take effect on Tuesday, could lead to significant disruptions in trade, particularly in industries like automaking, where tariffs on vehicles built in Canada and Mexico could hurt supply chains.

While some Republicans supported the move, industry groups and Democrats warned that the tariffs would raise costs for consumers and damage the economy. The National Foreign Trade Council voiced concern that the tariffs would increase prices for a wide range of goods, including avocados and automobiles.

Trump’s decision to impose these tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act and the National Emergencies Act provides him broad authority, though the move is expected to face legal challenges from trade experts and lawmakers.

The tariff imposition marks the fulfillment of Trump’s long-standing threats to address trade imbalances and immigration concerns, despite warnings from economists about the negative impact on growth and rising inflation.

As the tariffs begin, tensions are rising, and the impact on global trade and financial markets is becoming increasingly evident, with the Mexican peso, Canadian dollar, US stock prices, and Treasury bond yields all showing signs of volatility.

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